Poverty effects of Russia's WTO accession

modeling "real" households and endogenous productivity effects

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Poverty effects of Russia's WTO accession
Thomas Fox Rutherford
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December 13, 2020 | History

Poverty effects of Russia's WTO accession

modeling "real" households and endogenous productivity effects

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"Rutherford, Tarr, and Shepotylo use a computable general equilibrium comparative static model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) on income distribution and the poor. Their model is innovative in that they incorporate all 55,000 households from the Russian Household Budget Survey as "real" households in the model. This is accomplished because they develop a new algorithm for solving general equilibrium models with a large number of agents. In addition, they include foreign direct investment and Dixit-Stiglitz endogenous productivity effects in their trade and poverty analysis. In the medium term, the authors find that virtually all households gain from Russian WTO accession, with 99.9 percent of the estimated gains falling within a range between 2 and 25 percent increases in household income. They show that their estimates are decisively affected by liberalization of barriers against foreign direct investment in business services sectors and endogenous productivity effects in business services and goods. The authors use their integrated model to assess the error associated with a ©top down♯ approach to micro-simulation. They find that approximation errors introduced by failing to account for income effects in the conventional sequential approach are very small. However, data reconciliation between the national accounts and the household budget survey is important to the results. Despite the estimated gains for virtually all households in the medium term, many households may lose in the short term because of the costs of transition. So, safety nets are crucial for the poorest members of society during the transition. This paper--a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the impact of trade on poverty"--World Bank web site.

Publish Date
Publisher
World Bank
Language
English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/10/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
[Washington, D.C
Series
Policy research working paper ;, 3473, Policy research working papers (Online) ;, 3473.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3881.5.W57

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3475718M
LCCN
2005615116

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 5, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
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December 9, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page