Modeling inventories over the business cycle

Modeling inventories over the business cycle
Aubhik Khan, Aubhik Khan
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 13, 2020 | History

Modeling inventories over the business cycle

"We search for useful models of aggregate fluctuations with inventories. We focus exclusively on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models that endogenously give rise to inventory investment and evaluate two leading candidates: the (S,s) model and the stockout avoidance model. Each model is examined under both technology shocks and preference shocks, and its performance gauged by its ability to explain the observed magnitude of inventories in the U.S. economy, alongside other empirical regularities, such as the procyclicality of inventory investment and its positive correlation with sales. We find that the (S,s) model is far more consistent with the behavior of aggregate inventories in the postwar U.S. when aggregate fluctuations arise from technology, rather than preference, shocks. The converse is true for the stockout avoidance model. Overall, while the (S,s) model performs well with respect to the inventory facts and other business cycle regularities, the stockout avoidance model does not. There, the essential motive for stocks is insufficient to generate inventory holdings near the data without destroying the model's performance along other important margins. Finally, the stockout avoidance model appears incapable of sustaining inventories alongside capital. This suggests a fundamental problem in using reduced-form inventory models with stocks rationalized by this motive"--Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Modeling inventories over the business cycle
Modeling inventories over the business cycle
2004, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: Modeling inventories over the business cycle
Modeling inventories over the business cycle
2004, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: Modeling inventories over the business cycle
Modeling inventories over the business cycle
2004, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Also available in print.
Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/26/2005.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Philadelphia, PA
Series
Working paper ;, no. 04-13, Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia : Online) ;, no. 04-13.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL3476766M
LCCN
2005616306

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL5812206W

Work Description

"We evaluate two leading models of aggregate fluctutations with inventories in general equilibrium: the (S,s) model and the stockout avoidance model. Each is judged by its ability to explain the observed magnitude of inventories in the U.S. economy, alongside other empirical regularities such as the procyclicality of inventory investment and its positive correlation with sales. We find that the (S,s) model is far more consistent with the behavior of aggregate inventories in the postwar U.S. when aggregate fluctuations arise from technology, rather than preference, shocks. The converse holds for the stockout avoidance model. The (S,s) model performs well with respect to the inventory facts and other business cycle regularities. By contrast, the essential risk motive in the stockout avoidance model is insufficient to generate inventory holdings near the data without destroying the model's performance elsewhere, suggesting a fundamental problem in using reduced-form inventory models with stocks rationalized by this motive"--Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis web site.

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
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April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record