Subordinated levy processes and applications to crude oil options

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Noureddine Krichene, Noureddin ...
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December 15, 2009 | History

Subordinated levy processes and applications to crude oil options

One approach to oil markets is to treat oil as an asset, besides its role as a commodity. Speculative and nonspeculative activity by investors in the derivatives markets could be responsible for a sizable increase in oil prices. This paper recognizes both the consumption and investment aspects of crude oil and proposes Levy processes for modeling uncertainty and options pricing. Calibration to crude oil futures' options shows high volatility of oil futures prices, fat-tailed, and right-skewed market expectations, implying a higher probability mass on crude oil prices remaining above the futures' level. These findings support the view that demand for futures contracts by investors could lead to excessively high price volatility.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
25

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
2005, International Monetary Fund
in English
Cover of: Subordinated levy processes and applications to crude oil options
Subordinated levy processes and applications to crude oil options
2005, International Monetary Fund, African Dept.
in English
Cover of: Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
2005, International Monetary Fund
in English
Cover of: Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
Subordinated Levy Processes and Applications to Crude Oil Options
2005, International Monetary Fund
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"September 2005."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 24-25).

Also available on the World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
IMF working paper -- WP/05/174

The Physical Object

Pagination
25 p. :
Number of pages
25

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL20239763M

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL12460359W

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December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 26, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from University of Toronto MARC record