Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?

Does social security privatization produce ef ...
Shinichi Nishiyama, Shinichi N ...
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December 13, 2020 | History

Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?

"While privatizing Social Security can improve labor supply incentives, it can also reduce risk sharing when households face uninsurable risks. We simulate a stylized 50-percent privatization using an overlapping-generations model where heterogenous agents with elastic labor supply face idiosyncratic earnings shocks and longevity uncertainty. When wage shocks are insurable, privatization produces about $21,900 of new resources for each future household (growth adjusted over time) after all households have been fully compensated for their possible transitional losses. However, when wages are not insurable, privatization reduces efficiency by about $5,600 per future household despite improved labor supply incentives.We check the robustness of these results to different model specications and arrive at several surprising conclusions. First, privatization actually performs relatively better in a closed economy, where interest rates decline with capital accumulation, than in an open economy where capital can be accumulated without reducing interest rates. Second, privatization also performs relatively better when an actuarially-fair private annuity market does not exist than when it does exist. Third, introducing progressivity into the privatized system to restore risk sharing must be done carefully. In particular, having the government match private contributions on a progressive basis is not very effective at restoring risk sharing -- too much matching actually harms efficiency. However, increasing the progressivity of the remaining traditional system is very effective at restoring risk sharing, thereby allowing partial privatization to produce efficiency gains of $2,700 per future household"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

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Language
English

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Cover of: Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?
Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?
Does social security privatization produce efficiency gains?
2005, Congressional Budget Office
in English

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Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 9/28/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 11622, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 11622.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL3479182M
LCCN
2005620316

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL5893851W

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