An edition of The dynamics of Syria's civil war (2014)

The dynamics of Syria's civil war

The dynamics of Syria's civil war
Brian Michael Jenkins, Brian M ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 8, 2022 | History
An edition of The dynamics of Syria's civil war (2014)

The dynamics of Syria's civil war

As the ongoing conflict in Syria enters its third year, persistent uncertainty regarding the circumstances on the ground, potential outcomes, and long-term consequences continues to confound analysis and possible policy responses. This essay explores the dynamics of the Syrian conflict, including the characteristics and interests of the belligerents, the interests of foreign powers involved, and the implications that the present course of events has for the future of Syria and the wider region. It is concluded that the possibility of reaching a political settlement is becoming increasingly unlikely as the sectarian nature of the conflict intensifies and the unity of the rebel groups remains fractious, no end to the current stalemate is in sight. The conflict has become an existential struggle for all concerned, so not even the fall of Assad will bring an end to the violence. Also, the involvement of Islamic extremist groups and other hardliners poses a future international terrorist threat that could be directed against the West. By the end of 2014, more than half of the Syrian population could be living as refugees, which will exacerbate existing sectarian tensions in neighboring countries, another factor conducive to terrorism. We will be dealing with the effluent of Syria's civil war for decades.

Publish Date
Publisher
RAND Corporation
Language
English
Pages
23

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Book Details


Table of Contents

Principal observations
The dynamics of Syria's civil war
What this essay is about
The belligerents
The opposition forces
The inescapable course of events
Potential game changers
The fighting will go on, creating instability lasting decades
The threat posed by foreign fighters
Some policy implications
Conclusion.

Edition Notes

"PE-115 (2014)"

"Perspective : expert insights on a timely policy issue."

Includes bibliographical references (pages 22-23).

Published in
Santa Monica, California]
Copyright Date
2014

The Physical Object

Pagination
23 pages
Number of pages
23

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL43302461M
OCLC/WorldCat
871169077

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL31624904W

Source records

Harvard University record

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