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"This paper describes the risks implied by a mixed system of Social Security pension benefits with different combinations of pay-as-you-go taxes and personal retirement account (PRA) saving. The analysis shows how these risks can be reduced by using alternative private market guarantee strategies. The first such strategy uses a blend of equities and TIPS to guarantee at least a positive real rate or return on each year's PRA saving. The second is an explicit zero-cost collar that guarantees an annual rate of return by giving up all returns above a certain level. One variant of these guarantees uses a two stage procedure: a guaranteed return to age 66 and then a separate guarantee on the implicit return in the annuity phase. An alternative strategy provides a combined guarantee on the return during both the accumulation and the annuity phase. Simulations are presented of the probability distributions of retirement incomes relative to the "benchmark" benefits specified in current law. Calculations of expected utility show that these risk reduction techniques can raise expected utility relative to the plans with no guarantees. The ability to do so depends on the individual's risk aversion level. This underlines the idea that different individuals would rationally prefer different investment strategies and risk reduction options"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
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Subjects
Social security, Pension trusts, Econometric models, Finance, RiskPlaces
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Reducing the risk of investment-based social security reform
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English
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Reducing the risk of investment-based social security reform
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource
in English
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Book Details
Edition Notes
"January 2005."
Includes bibliographical references.
Also available in PDF from the NBER world wide web site (www.nber.org).
The Physical Object
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Work Description
"This paper describes the risks implied by a mixed system of Social Security pension benefits with different combinations of pay-as-you-go taxes and personal retirement account (PRA) saving. The analysis shows how these risks can be reduced by using alternative private market guarantee strategies. The first such strategy uses a blend of equities and TIPS to guarantee at least a positive real rate or return on each year's PRA saving. The second is an explicit zero-cost collar that guarantees an annual rate of return by giving up all returns above a certain level. One variant of these guarantees uses a two stage procedure: a guaranteed return to age 66 and then a separate guarantee on the implicit return in the annuity phase. An alternative strategy provides a combined guarantee on the return during both the accumulation and the annuity phase.Simulations are presented of the probability distributions of retirement incomes relative to the "benchmark" benefits specified in current law. Calculations of expected utility show that these risk reduction techniques can raise expected utility relative to the plans with no guarantees. The ability to do so depends on the individual%u2019s risk aversion level. This underlines the idea that different individuals would rationally prefer different investment strategies and risk reduction options"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
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| December 13, 2020 | Edited by MARC Bot | import existing book |
| February 6, 2010 | Edited by WorkBot | add more information to works |
| December 10, 2009 | Created by WorkBot | add works page |