Our world confronts rapid and potentially profound transitions driven by social, economic, environmental, and technological change.
An edition of Shaping the next one hundred years
(2003)
Shaping the next one hundred years
new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography
by Robert J. Lempert
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"The checkered history of predicting the future--e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty."
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Previews available in: English
| Edition | Availability |
|---|---|
1
Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis
January 25, 2004, RAND Corporation
Paperback
in English
0833032755 9780833032751
|
zzzz
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2
Shaping the next one hundred years: new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography
2003, RAND
in English
0833032755 9780833032751
|
aaaa
|
Book Details
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Also available in electronic form via the RAND Corporation Web site.
"MR-1626."
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