Current account deficits in rich countries

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Last edited by MARC Bot
August 11, 2020 | History

Current account deficits in rich countries

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Current account imbalances have steadily increased in rich countries over the last 20 years. While the U.S. current account deficit dominates the numbers and the news, other countries, especially within the Euro area, are also running large deficits. These deficits are different from the Latin American deficits of the early 1980s, or the Mexican deficit of the early 1990s. They involve rich countries; they reflect mostly private saving and investment decisions, and fiscal deficits often play a marginal role; and the deficits are financed mostly through equity, FDI, and own-currency bonds rather than through bank lending. Yet, there appears a widely shared worry that these deficits are too large, and government intervention is required. My purpose, in this lecture, is to examine the logic of this argument. I ask the following question: Assume that deficits reflect private saving and investment decisions. Assume also that people and firms have rational expectations. Should the government intervene, and, if so, how? To answer the question, I construct a simple benchmark. In the benchmark, the outcome is first best and there is no need nor justification for government intervention.

(con.) I then introduce simple distortions in either goods, labor, or financial markets, and characterize the equilibrium in each case. I derive optimal policy and the implications for the current account. I show that optimal policy may or may not lead to smaller current account deficits. I see the model and the extensions very much as a first pass. Sharper conclusions require a better understanding of the exact nature and the extent of distortions, and we do not have it. Such understanding is needed however to improve the quality of the current debate. Keywords: current account deficit, distortion, nominal rigidities, financial constraints, global imbalances, euro, optimal policy. JEL Classifications: F40, E62

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
27

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Cover of: Current account deficits in rich countries
Current account deficits in rich countries
2007, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics
in English

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Edition Notes

"Feb. 10, 2006." -- "February 10, 20007 sic"--p. 1.

Includes bibliographical references.

Abstract in HTML and working paper for download in PDF available via World Wide Web at the Social Science Research Network.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
Working paper series / Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics -- working paper 07-06, Working paper (Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics) -- no. 07-06.

The Physical Object

Pagination
27 leaves :
Number of pages
27

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24641606M
Internet Archive
currentaccountde00blan2
OCLC/WorldCat
122256750

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August 11, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot remove fake subjects
May 3, 2011 Created by ImportBot initial import