News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements

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News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements
Jon Faust
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 11, 2020 | History

News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements

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"Revisions to GDP announcements are known to be quite large in all G-7 countries: many revisions in quarterly GDP growth are over a full percentage point at an annualized rate. In this paper, we examine the predictability of these data revisions. Previous work suggests that U.S. GDP revisions are largely unpredictable, as would be the case if the revisions reflect news not available at the time that the preliminary number is produced. We find that the degree of predictability varies throughout the G-7. For the U.S., the revisions are very slightly predictable, but for Italy, Japan and the UK, about half the variability of subsequent revisions can be accounted for by information available at the time of the preliminary announcement. For these countries, it appears that revisions reflect, to a significant degree, the removal of noise from the preliminary numbers, rather than the arrival of news"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements
News and noise in G-7 GDP announcements
2000, Federal Reserve Board
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 11/26/2004.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
International finance discussion papers ;, no. 690, International finance discussion papers (Online) ;, no. 690.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3390561M
LCCN
2004620298

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December 11, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 31, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 12, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 31, 2008 Edited by ImportBot add URIs from original MARC record
April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record