Testing under non-standard conditions in frequency domain

with applications to Markov regime switching models of exchange rates and the federal funds rate

Testing under non-standard conditions in freq ...
Fangxiong Gong, Fangxiong Gong
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December 15, 2009 | History

Testing under non-standard conditions in frequency domain

with applications to Markov regime switching models of exchange rates and the federal funds rate

"We propose two test statistics in the frequency domain and derive their exact asymptotic null distributions under the condition of unidentified nuisance parameters. The proposed methods are particularly applicable in unobserved components models. Also, it is shown that the tests have considerable power when applied to a class of Markov regime switching models. We show that, after transforming the Markov regime switching model into the frequency domain representation we only have to face the issue of unidentified nuisance parameters in a nonlinear context. The singularity problem disappears. Compared to Hansen's (1992, 1996) LR-bound test of the same Markov regime switching model, our LM test performs better in terms of finite sample power, except in the special case of the Markov switching model in which the model becomes a Normal mixture model. Our test needs only a one-dimensional grid search while Hansen's (1992, 1996) test requires a three-dimensional grid search. The LM test is applied to Markov regime switching models of exchange rates and the Federal Funds rate. We used the same exchange rates data in Engel and Hamilton (1990). The null of random walk is not rejected in the exchange rates model. The null is rejected for the Federal Funds rate in subsample periods 1955:1-1979:9 and 1982:10-1995:11"--Federal Reserve Bank of New York web site.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
56

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"April 1997."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 55-56).

Published in
New York, N.Y
Series
Staff reports -- no. 23, Staff reports (Federal Reserve Bank of New York) -- no. 23.

The Physical Object

Pagination
56 p. :
Number of pages
56

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL22269386M

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL5890901W

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December 15, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
November 9, 2008 Created by ImportBot Imported from Binghamton University MARC record