The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk

The cross-section of currency risk premia and ...
Hanno Lustig, Hanno Lustig
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December 13, 2020 | History

The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk

"Aggregate consumption growth risk explains why low interest rate currencies do not appreciate as much as the interest rate differential and why high interest rate currencies do not depreciate as much as the interest rate differential. We sort foreign T-bills into portfolios based on the nominal interest rate differential with the US, and we test the Euler equation of a US investor who invests in these currency portfolios. US investors earn negative excess returns on low interest rate currency portfolios and positive excess returns on high interest rates currency portfolios. We find that low interest rate currencies provide US investors with a hedge against US aggregate consumption growth risk, because these currencies appreciate on average when US consumption growth is low, while high interest rate currencies depreciate when US consumption growth is low. As a result, the risk premia predicted by the Consumption-CAPM match the average excess returns on these currency portfolios"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk
The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English
Cover of: The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk
The cross-section of currency risk premia and US consumption growth risk
2005, National Bureau of Economic Research
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 2/17/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 11104, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 11104.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL3477094M
LCCN
2005616708

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL5889151W

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