Speculative attacks, private signals and intertemporal trade-offs

Speculative attacks, private signals and inte ...
Nikola A. Tarashev, Nikola A. ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 22, 2020 | History

Speculative attacks, private signals and intertemporal trade-offs

Confronted with a speculative attack on its currency peg, an authority weighs the short-term benefit of giving in and fine tuning the economy against the long-term benefit of credibility-enhancing resistance. In turn, speculators with heterogeneous beliefs face strategic uncertainty that peaks at the time of the attack, when the fate of the peg is unclear, and then declines, as the economy settles in a stable currency regime. In this environment, a less conservative authority - i.e. one that stabilises less the exchange rate once a peg is abandoned - may be more likely to withstand an attack on the peg. This result, which strengthens as speculators' risk aversion declines, casts doubt on the conventional wisdom that greater conservatism enhances welfare.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Speculative attacks, private signals and intertemporal trade-offs
Speculative attacks, private signals and intertemporal trade-offs
2008, Bank for International Settlements
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from PDF file (viewed on Oct. 10, 2008).

"June 2008."

"Monetary and Economic Department."

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Basel, Switzerland
Series
BIS working papers -- no. 254

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL22649193M
LCCN
2008613038

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL5699186W

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