Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account

The Case of Constant Time Preference

Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Curr...
Maurice Obstfeld, National Bur...
Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account by Maurice Obstfeld, National Bureau of Economic Research, Maurice Obstfeld, National Bureau of Economic Research
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Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account

The Case of Constant Time Preference

The paper uses an intertemporal perfect-foresight optimizing model to analyze the effect of transitory terms-of-trade shocks on a small open . economy's current-account and utility time profiles. An adverse terms-of-trade shift known to be temporary induces the economy to run down its stock of external assets in the period before the terms of trade revert to their initial level. Subsequently, the assets consumed during this period are reaccumulated. The current-account response is due only in part to a desire to smooth out the future consumption stream. In addition, households know that the real value of any debt incurred while the terms of trade are unfavorable will be reduced sharply when the terms of trade improve. This opportunity for intertemporal price speculation causes the time path of instantaneous utility to be discontinuous,

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Language
English
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Cover of: Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account
Transitory Terms-of-Trade Shocks and the Current Account: The Case of Constant Time Preference
1982, National Bureau of Economic Research
electronic resource in English

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January 1982.

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Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers.

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Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. w0834, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- no. w0834

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[electronic resource]

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OL62728402M

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OL46194397W

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