The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention

Recent Experience

The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Interve...
Maurice Obstfeld, National Bur...
The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention by Maurice Obstfeld, National Bureau of Economic Research, Maurice Obstfeld, National Bureau of Economic Research
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The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention

Recent Experience

Since the September 1985 Plaza Hotel announcement by the Group of Five industrial countries, a substantial realignment of exchange rates has been achieved. At the same time, foreign exchange market intervention, much of it concerted and much of it sterilized, has been undertaken on a scale not seen since the early 1970s This paper takes a fresh look at the effectiveness of sterilized intervention in the light of recent experience. The paper concludes that sterilized intervention, in itself, has played an unimportant role in promoting exchange-rate realignment. Instead, clear shifts in patterns of monetary and fiscal policy appear to have been the main medium-term policy factors determining currency values. Over certain shorter time periods, intervention has influenced exchange markets through a signalling channel; but this signalling effect has been operative only as a result of authorities' frequent readiness to adjust monetary policies promptly to counteract unwelcome exchange-market pressures. The paper makes some progress in formalizing reasons why intervention might enhance the credibility of messages that governments could convey as well through simple verbal announcements.

Publish Date
Language
English
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Cover of: The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention
The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention: Recent Experience
1991, National Bureau of Economic Research
electronic resource in English

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February 1991.

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Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers.

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Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. w2796, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- no. w2796

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[electronic resource]

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL62726514M

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL46192566W

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