Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U...
Anthony P.. Rodrigues, Charles...
Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market by Anthony P.. Rodrigues, Charles Engel, Jeffrey A. Frankel, Kenneth Froot, National Bureau of Economic Research, Anthony P.. Rodrigues, Charles Engel, Jeffrey A. Frankel, Kenneth Froot, National Bureau of Economic Research
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We apply the method of constrained asset share estimation (CASE) to test the mean-variance efficiency (MVE) of the stock market. This method allows conditional expected returns to vary in unrestricted ways, given investor preferences. We also allow conditional variances to follow an ARCH process. The data estimate reasonably the coefficient of relative risk aversion, though are unable to reject investor risk neutrality. We reject the restrictions implied by MVE, although changing conditional variances improve statistically upon measured market efficiency. We find that unrestricted asset-share and ARCH models help forecast excess returns. Once MVE is imposed, however, this forecasting ability disappears.

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English
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Cover of: Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
1989, National Bureau of Economic Research
electronic resource in English

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March 1989.

Access restricted to subscribers.

Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers.

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Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
NBER working paper series -- no. w2890, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- no. w2890

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[electronic resource]

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OL62726468M

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OL46192523W

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