Option valuation of flexible investments

the case of a coal gasifier

Option valuation of flexible investments
Olivier Herbelot, Massachusett ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
June 29, 2025 | History

Option valuation of flexible investments

the case of a coal gasifier

This paper examines the use of contingent claim analysis to evaluate the option of retrofitting a coal gasifier on an existing gas-fired power plant in order to take advantage of changes in the relative prices of natural gas and coal. Commodity price changes over time were modeled by binomial stochastic processes, and the price of natural gas is first assumed to follow a Wiener process over time. The option to wait before retrofitting the gasifier was found to be very valuable to the utility. The volatility and convenience yield of natural gas prices were shown to have a strong influence on the exact option value. Uncertainties surrounding future gasifier capital costs proved to be less critical. The paper also examined the case where the price of natural gas follows a mean-reverting process over time, and found that the option value can be substantially affected.

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Cover of: Option valuation of flexible investments
Option valuation of flexible investments: the case of a coal gasifier
1994, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"March 1994."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 30-33).

Supported by the Nuclear Engineering Department and the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.

Published in
Cambridge, Mass
Series
MIT-CEEPR -- 94-002WP, MIT-CEEPR (Series) -- 94-002WP

The Physical Object

Pagination
33 p.
Number of pages
33

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL59426167M
OCLC/WorldCat
35719510

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL43595668W

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