Staying afloat when the wind shifts

external factors and emerging-market banking crises / Barry Eichengreen, Andrew K. Rose.

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Staying afloat when the wind shifts
Barry J. Eichengreen
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February 5, 2010 | History

Staying afloat when the wind shifts

external factors and emerging-market banking crises / Barry Eichengreen, Andrew K. Rose.

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We analyze banking crises using a panel of macroeconomic and financial data for more than one hundred developing countries from 1975 through 1992. We find that banking crises in emerging markets are strongly associated with adverse external conditions. In particular Northern interest rates are strongly associated with the onset of banking crises in developing countries, even after taking into account a host of internal macroeconomic factors. A one percent increase in Northern interest rates is associated with an increase in the probability of Southern banking crises of around three percent. Our results also seem insensitive to the effects of differing exchange rate regimes, external debt burdens and domestic financial structures.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
45

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"January 1998."

JEL no. F34.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 33-36).

Electronic access limited to Binghamton University faculty, staff and students for instructional and research purposes only.

Electronic version available via the Internet at the NBER World Wide Web site.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 6370, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) -- working paper no. 6370.
Other Titles
Emerging-market banking crises

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1 .W654 no. 6370

The Physical Object

Pagination
45 p. :
Number of pages
45

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL22403995M

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December 9, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page