Preventing a national debt explosion

Preventing a national debt explosion
Feldstein, Martin S., Feldstei ...
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Last edited by MARC Bot
September 25, 2020 | History

Preventing a national debt explosion

"The projected path of the U.S. national debt is the major challenge facing American economic policy. Without changes in tax and spending rules, the national debt will rise from 62 percent of GDP now to more than 100 percent of GDP by the end of the decade and nearly twice that level within 25 years. This paper discusses three strategies that, taken together, could reverse this trend and reduce the ratio of debt to GDP to less than 50 percent. The first strategy, which focuses on the current decade, would reduce the Administration's proposed spending increases and tax reductions that would otherwise add $3.8 trillion to the national debt in 2020. The second strategy would augment the tax-financed benefits for Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid with investment based accounts would permit the higher future spending on health care and pensions with a relatively small increase in saving for such accounts. The third strategy focuses on "tax expenditures," the special features of the tax law that reduce revenue in order to achieve effects that might otherwise be done by explicit outlays. Tax expenditures now result in an annual total revenue loss of about $1 trillion; reducing them could permanently reduce future deficits without increasing marginal tax rates or reducing the rewards for saving, investment, and risk taking. The paper concludes with a discussion of how the high debt to GDP ratio after World War II was reversed and how the last four presidents ended their terms with small primary deficits or primary budget surpluses"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Preventing a national debt explosion
Preventing a national debt explosion
2010, National Bureau of Economic Research
electronic resource / in English

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Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 12/30/2010.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 16451, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 16451.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
[electronic resource] /

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL30508528M
LCCN
2010656295

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL22419722W

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