An investigation of finite sample behavior of confidence interval estimation procedures in computer simulation

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An investigation of finite sample behavior of confidence interval estimation procedures in computer simulation

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Investigated are the small sample behavior and convergence properties of confidence interval estimators (CIE's) for the mean of a stationary discrete process. We consider CIE's arising from nonoverlapping batch means, overlapping batch means, and standardized time series, all of which are commonly used in discrete-event simulation. For a specific CIE, the performance measures of interest include the coverage probability, and the expected value and variance of the half-length. We use both empirical and analytical methods to make detailed comparisons regarding the behavior of the CIE's for a variety of stochastic processes. All of the CIE's under study are asymptotically valid; however, they are usually invalid for small sample sizes. We find that for small samples, the bias of the variance parameter estimator figures significantly in CIE coverage performance-the less bias the better. A Secondary role is played by the Marginal distribution of the stationary process. Not all CIE's are equal - some require fewer observations before manifesting the properties for CIE validity.

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Cover of: An investigation of finite sample behavior of confidence interval estimation procedures in computer simulation
An investigation of finite sample behavior of confidence interval estimation procedures in computer simulation
1991, Naval Postgraduate School, Available from National Technical Information Service
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Cover title.

"NPS-AS-91-009."

"April 1991."

AD A238 744.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 17-19).

aq/ /aq cc:9116 10/28/97

Published in
Monterey, Calif, Springfield, Va
Other Titles
NPS-AS-91-009.

The Physical Object

Pagination
24, [6] p. :
Number of pages
24

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL25454365M
Internet Archive
investigationoff00sarg

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