An edition of Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security
(2012)
Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security
by Davis, Paul K.
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Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security
2012, RAND
in English
0833076612 9780833076618
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Book Details
Table of Contents
A cross-cutting analytic method: exploratory analysis
The concept
Making exploratory analysis feasible and convergent
Start with a broad view
Narrow the analysis for the study at hand
Use multiresolution modeling
Narrow to a test set of scenarios
Use computational experiments for scenario discovery
Strategic planning
Uncertainty-sensitive strategic planning
Planning specific adaptations
Capabilities-based planning and portfolio analysis
System thinking in strategic planning for complex adaptive systems
Border control for drug smuggling
Counterterrorism and counterinsurgency
Strategic forecasting and expert elicitation
Acquisition management
Deciding on whether to arrange for competition
Reducing risk by taking risk
Reducing uncertainty by researching the facts
Scientific cost estimation
Logistics
Background
RAND's 1980's uncertainty project
Recent developments
Manpower
Crisis decisionmaking
Issues of organization and implementation
Organizing to cope
Anticipating organizational behavior undercutting intentions
Conclusions
Appendix A: the more general literature.
Edition Notes
Includes bibliographical references.
Classifications
The Physical Object
ID Numbers
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| September 17, 2021 | Edited by ImportBot | import existing book |
| July 18, 2012 | Created by LC Bot | import new book |