Optimal expectations and limited medical testing

evidence from Huntington disease

Optimal expectations and limited medical test ...
Emily Oster, Emily Oster
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Last edited by MARC Bot
October 17, 2020 | History

Optimal expectations and limited medical testing

evidence from Huntington disease

"The NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health provides summaries of publications like this. You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email. We use novel data to study the decision to undergo genetic testing by individuals at risk for Huntington disease (HD), a hereditary neurological disorder that reduces healthy life expectancy to about age 50. Although genetic testing is perfectly predictive and carries little financial or time cost, less than 10 percent of at-risk individuals are tested prior to the onset of symptoms. Testing rates are higher for individuals with higher ex ante risk of carrying the genetic expansion for HD. Untested individuals express optimistic beliefs about their probability of having HD and make fertility, savings, labor supply, and other decisions as if they do not have HD, even though individuals with confirmed HD behave quite differently. We show that these facts are qualitatively consistent with a model of optimal expectations (Brunnermeier and Parker, 2005) and can be reconciled quantitatively in this model with reasonable parameter values. This model nests the neoclassical framework and, we argue, provides strong evidence rejecting the assumptions of that framework. Finally, we briefly develop policy implications"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 2/9/2012.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 17629, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 17629.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

Edition Identifiers

Open Library
OL25205737M
LCCN
2011657521

Work Identifiers

Work ID
OL16509278W

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October 17, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
February 15, 2012 Created by LC Bot import new book