Idiosyncratic production risk, growth, and the business cycle

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Last edited by MARC Bot
August 13, 2020 | History

Idiosyncratic production risk, growth, and the business cycle

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We introduce a neoclassical growth economy with idiosyncratic production risk and incomplete markets. The general equilibrium is characterized in closed form. Uninsurable production shocks introduce a risk premium on private equity and typically result in a lower steady-state level of capital than under complete markets. In the presence of such risks, the anticipation of low investment and high interest rates in the future feeds back into a high risk premium and low investment in the present. The endogenous countercyclicality of the risk premium generates a macroeconomic complementarity between future and current investment, which slows down convergence and amplifies the magnitude and persistence of the business cycle. These results - in sharp contrast with Aiyagari (1994) and Krusell and Smith (1998) - highlight that idiosyncratic production or capital-income risk can have significant adverse effects on capital accumulation and aggregate volatility. Keywords: Entrepreneurial Risk, Investment, Growth, Fluctuations, Precautionary Savings, Capital income.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
37

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Cover of: Idiosyncratic production risk, growth, and the business cycle
Idiosyncratic production risk, growth, and the business cycle
2002, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics
in English

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Edition Notes

"February 2002."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 34-37).

Abstract in HTML and working paper for download in PDF available via World Wide Web at the Social Science Research Network.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
Working paper series / Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics -- working paper 02-10, Working paper (Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics) -- no. 02-10.

The Physical Object

Pagination
37, [3] p. :
Number of pages
37

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24639979M
Internet Archive
idiosyncraticpro00ange
OCLC/WorldCat
51765943

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August 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot remove fake subjects
April 30, 2011 Created by ImportBot initial import