An edition of Speculative growth (2002)

Speculative growth

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Last edited by MARC Bot
August 13, 2020 | History
An edition of Speculative growth (2002)

Speculative growth

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We propose a framework for understanding recurrent historical episodes of vigorous economic expansion accompanied by extreme asset valuations, as exhibited by Japan in the 1980s and the U.S. in the 1990s. We interpret this phenomenon as a high-valuation equilibrium with a low effective cost of capital based on optimism about the future availability of funds for investment. The key to the sustainability of such an equilibrium is feedback from increased growth to an increase in the supply of funding. We show that such feedback arises naturally when the expansion is concentrated in a "new economy" sector and when it is supported by sustained fiscal surpluses - both of which would constitute an integral part, as cause and consequence, of a "speculative growth" equilibrium. The high-valuation equilibrium we analyze may take the form of a stock market bubble. In contrast to classic bubbles on non-productive assets, the bubbles in our model encourage real investment, boost long-run savings, and may appear in dynamically efficient economies. Keywords: Bubbles, Investment, Cost of Capital, Growth-saving Feedback, Multiple Equilibria, Dynamic Efficiency and Inefficiency, New Economy, Spillovers, Fiscal and Current Account Surpluses. JEL Classification: D0, D9, E2, E3, G1, H3.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
42

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Cover of: Speculative growth
Speculative growth
2002, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics
in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"November 27, 2002."

Includes bibliographical references (p. 41-42).

Abstract in HTML and working paper for download in PDF available via World Wide Web at the Social Science Research Network.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
Working paper series / Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Economics -- working paper 02-45, Working paper (Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Economics) -- no. 02-45.

The Physical Object

Pagination
42 p. :
Number of pages
42

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24639898M
Internet Archive
speculativegrowt00caba
OCLC/WorldCat
51808331

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Internet Archive item record

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August 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot remove fake subjects
April 30, 2011 Created by ImportBot initial import