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Examining the international system from a geopolitical and geoeconomic perspective, Alpo Rusi provides a broad vision and bold forecast of the emerging strategic landscape for the coming century. An asymmetrical world system is emerging. The United States is now the sole true world power; it forms the core of a unipolar order characterized by an uneven division of world power and economic resources. Rusi argues, however, that this post-Cold War "order" will not survive into the next century.
Rusi suggests that the power vacuum in the former Soviet empire will be filled by China in Asia and by the European Union in Eastern Europe, Russia's disintegration and decline in world power status will continue but may have reached its bottom line economically, and Islam will gain strength in various parts of the world, embracing a new international role.
He also predicts that the world will be split into four or five distinct trading blocs: A European bloc formed around the European Union; an East Asian bloc, potentially strong, interventionist, and even aggressive, formed around China and the Singapore economic region; Japan, as a strong and still competitive economic power; and a Pan-American bloc, also strong but potentially isolationist, formed around the United States.
One of the question marks will be the future ability of an orthodox Russia to facilitate conditions for an economic space. Rusi warns that it is crucial for the European and Pan-American blocs to build upon the traditional Euro-Atlantic relationship. Without it, he argues, a truly polarized - and potentially hostile - bloc system could take root, most likely lining the "Western panregions" against China's expansiveness.
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Subjects
Geopolitics, World politics, Zukunft, Geopolitique, Cooperation economique, Previsions economiques, Grandes puissances, Handelsblokken, Geopolitiek, Apres-guerre froide, Relations internationales, Cooperation regionale, Geopolitik, Machtsevenwicht, Weltpolitik, Peace, Politique mondiale, Géopolitique, POLITICAL SCIENCE / GeneralTimes
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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
2023, Taylor & Francis Group
in English
0367159171 9780367159177
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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
2021, Taylor & Francis Group
in English
0429740557 9780429740558
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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
2021, Taylor & Francis Group
in English
0429720548 9780429720543
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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
2021, Taylor & Francis Group
in English
0429039166 9780429039164
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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
2021, Taylor & Francis Group
in English
0429700539 9780429700538
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Edition Notes
Includes bibliographical references and index.
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