Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales

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Wind power forecasting error distributions ov ...
Bri-Mathias Hodge
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Last edited by MARC Bot
December 13, 2022 | History

Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales

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Wind forecasting is an important consideration in integrating large amounts of wind power into the electricity grid. The wind power forecast error distribution assumed can have a large impact on the confidence intervals produced in wind power forecasting. In this work we examine the shape of the persistence model error distribution for ten different wind plants in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) system over multiple timescales. Comparisons are made between the experimental distribution shape and that of the normal distribution. The shape of the distribution is found to change significantly with the length of the forecasting timescale. The Cauchy distribution is proposed as a model distribution for the forecast errors and model parameters are fitted. Finally, the differences in confidence intervals obtained using the Cauchy distribution and the normal distribution are compared.

Publish Date
Language
English
Pages
15

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales
Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales
2011, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
electronic resource / in English
Cover of: Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales
Wind power forecasting error distributions over multiple timescales: preprint
2011, National Renewable Energy Laboratory
electronic resource : in English

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Book Details


Edition Notes

Title from title screen (viewed on Aug. 10, 2011).

"IEEE Power and Energy Society, General Meeting, July 27, 2011."

Published in
Golden, Colo
Series
NREL/PR -- 5500-52294, NREL/PR -- 5500-52294.

The Physical Object

Format
[electronic resource] /
Pagination
1 online resource ([15] slides)
Number of pages
15

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL43927293M
OCLC/WorldCat
746168592

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December 13, 2022 Created by MARC Bot Imported from harvard_bibliographic_metadata record