When can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical settings?

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When can changes in expectations cause busine ...
Paul Beaudry
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December 13, 2020 | History

When can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical settings?

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"It is often argued that changes in expectation are an important driving force of the business cycle. However, it is well known that changes in expectations cannot generate positive co-movement between consumption, investment and employment in the most standard neo-classical business cycle models. This gives rise to the question of whether changes in expectation can cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical setting or whether such a phenomenon is inherently related to market imperfections. This paper offers a systematic exploration of this issue. Our finding is that expectation driven business cycle fluctuation can arise in neo-classical models when one allows for a sufficient rich description of the inter-sectorial production technology, however such a structure is rarely allowed in macro-models. In particular, the key characteristic which we isolate as giving rise to the possibility of Expectation Driven Business Cycles is that intermediate good producers exhibit cost complementarities (i.e., economies of scope) when supplying intermediate goods to different sectors of the economy"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

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English

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Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/21/2005.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Cambridge, MA
Series
NBER working paper series ;, working paper 10776, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) ;, working paper no. 10776.

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Library of Congress
HB1

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Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3476373M
LCCN
2005615855

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December 13, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
July 29, 2012 Edited by VacuumBot Updated format '[electronic resource] /' to 'Electronic resource'
December 12, 2009 Edited by WorkBot link works
October 31, 2008 Edited by ImportBot add URIs from original MARC record
April 1, 2008 Created by an anonymous user Imported from Scriblio MARC record