Natural amenities and rural population migration

a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment

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Natural amenities and rural population migrat ...
H. Ken Cordell
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Last edited by MARC Bot
November 15, 2020 | History

Natural amenities and rural population migration

a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment

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Research has suggested that significant relationships exist between rural population change and natural amenities. Thus, understanding and predicting domestic migration trends as a function of changes in natural amenities is important for effective regional growth and development policies and strategies. In this study, we first estimated an econometric model which showed the effects of natural amenities, such as climate and landscape variables, on rural population migration patterns in the United States between 1990 and 2007. The estimated model was then used to predict the effects of changes in these variables on rural county net migration and population growth to 2060 under alternative future climate and land use projections. Results suggest that people prefer rural areas with mild winters and cooler summers; thus we can expect a direct impact of climate change on population migration when areas associated with these conditions change. Results also suggest preference for varied landscapes that feature a mix of forest land and open space (e.g., pasture and range land). During the projection period from 2010 to 2060 in the United States, changes in natural amenities were predicted to have positive effects on rural population migration trends in most parts of the Inter-mountain and Pacific Northwest regions, and some parts of the Southeastern, South Central, and Northeastern U.S. regions (e.g., Southern Appalachian Mountains, Ozark Mountains, northern New England). Changes in natural amenities were predicted to have negative effects on rural population migration trends during the projection period in Midwestern regions (e.g., Great Plains and North Central regions).

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Book Details


Edition Notes

"December 2011"--P. [2] of cover.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 13-14).

Also available on the Internet.

Published in
Asheville, NC
Series
General technical report SRS -- 146, General technical report SRS -- 146.
Other Titles
Technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA assessment

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1955 .N38 2011

The Physical Object

Pagination
23 p.
Number of pages
23

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL31302906M
LCCN
2013376605
OCLC/WorldCat
788322679

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November 15, 2020 Created by MARC Bot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record