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"Much of Africa has not yet gone through a "demographic transition" to reduced mortality and fertility rates. The fact that the continent's countries remain mired in a Malthusian crisis of high mortality, high fertility, and rapid population growth (with an accompanying state of chronic extreme poverty) has been attributed to many factors ranging from the status of women, pro-natalist policies, poverty itself, and social institutions. There remains, however, a large degree of uncertainty among demographers as to the relative importance of these factors on a comparative or historical basis. Moreover, econometric estimation is complicated by endogeneity among fertility and other variables of interest. We attempt to improve estimation (particularly of the effect of the child mortality variable) by deploying exogenous variation in the ecology of malaria transmission and in agricultural productivity through the staggered introduction of Green Revolution, high-yield seed varieties. Results show that child mortality (proxied by infant mortality) is by far the most important factor among those explaining aggregate total fertility rates, followed by farm productivity. Female literacy (or schooling) and aggregate income do not seem to matter as much, comparatively"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
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Africa's lagging demographic transition: evidence from exogenous impacts of malaria ecology and agricultural technology
2007, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource
in English
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Edition Notes
Title from PDF file as viewed on 5/11/2007.
Includes bibliographical references.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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- Created September 23, 2008
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December 19, 2020 | Edited by MARC Bot | import existing book |
August 4, 2012 | Edited by VacuumBot | Updated format '[electronic resource] :' to 'Electronic resource' |
September 9, 2010 | Edited by Frédéric Bonnet | merge authors |
December 15, 2009 | Edited by WorkBot | link works |
September 23, 2008 | Created by ImportBot | Imported from Library of Congress MARC record |