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001 269444089
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050 00 $aHG4521$b.T285 2005
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100 1 $aTaleb, Nassim Nicholas,$d1960-
245 10 $aFooled by randomness :$bthe hidden role of chance in life and in the markets /$cNassim Nicholas Taleb.
250 $a2nd ed. /$bupdated by the author.
260 $aNew York :$bRandom House,$c2005.
300 $axlviii, 316 pages :$billustations ;$c24 cm
336 $atext$btxt$2rdacontent
337 $aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia
338 $avolume$bnc$2rdacarrier
500 $aOriginally published: New York : Thomson/Texere, 2004.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 293-306) and index.
505 0 $apt. I: Solon's warning : skewness, asymmetry, induction. If you're so rich, why aren't you so smart? ; A bizarre accounting method ; A mathematical mediation on history ; Randomness, nonsense, and the scientific intellectual ; Survival of the least fit : can evolution be fooled by randomness? ; Skewness and asymmetry ; The problem of induction -- pt. II. Monkeys on typewriters : survivorship and other biases. Too many millionaires next door ; It is easier to buy and sell than fry an egg ; Loser takes all : on the nonlinearities of life ; Randomness and our mind : we are probability blind -- pt. III. Wax in my ears : living with randomitis. Gamblers' ticks and pigeons in a box -- Carneades comes to Rome : on probability and skepticism -- Bacchus abandons Antony -- Epilogue: Solon told you so -- Postscript: Three afterthoughts in the shower.
520 $aThis work has shaken Wall Street thanks to its contention that much of what people perceive as skill playing the markets is often nothing more than luck.
650 0 $aInvestments.
650 0 $aChance.
650 0 $aRandom variables.
856 41 $3Sample text$uhttp://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0625/2005049005-s.html
856 42 $3Publisher description$uhttp://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0625/2005049005-d.html
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