MARC Record from marc_columbia

LEADER: 03987cam a2200373 a 4500
001 6868481
005 20221122054409.0
008 071011t20082008nyua b 001 0 eng
010 $a 2007042507
020 $a9780375424045
020 $a0375424040
024 $a99821287491
035 $a(OCoLC)ocn175218048
035 $a(OCoLC)175218048
035 $a(NNC)6868481
035 $a6868481
040 $aDLC$cDLC$dBTCTA$dBAKER$dYDXCP$dOCLCG$dUPZ$dIH5$dBWX$dZJI$dOrLoB-B
050 00 $aQA273$b.M63 2008
082 00 $a519.2$222
100 1 $aMlodinow, Leonard,$d1954-$0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n00015933
245 14 $aThe Drunkard's walk :$bhow randomness rules our lives /$cLeonard Mlodinow.
250 $a1st ed.
260 $aNew York :$bPantheon Books,$c[2008], ©2008.
300 $axi, 252 pages :$billustrations ;$c25 cm
336 $atext$btxt$2rdacontent
337 $aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505 00 $gCh. 1.$tPeering through the Eyepiece of Randomness: The hidden role of chance...when human beings can be outperformed by a rat --$gCh. 2.$tThe Laws of Truths and Half-Truths: The basic principles of probability and how they are abused...why a good story is often less likely to be true than a flimsy explanation --$gCh. 3.$tFinding Your Way through a Space of Possibilities: A framework for thinking about random situations...from a gambler in plague-ridden Italy to Let's Make a Deal --$gCh. 4.$tTracking the Pathways to Success: How to count the number of ways in which events can happen, and why it matters...the mathematical meaning of expectation --$gCh. 5.$tThe Dueling Laws of Large and Small Numbers: The extent to which probabilities are reflected in the results we observe...Zeno's paradox, the concept of limits, and beating the casino at roulette --$gCh. 6.$tFalse Positives and Positive Fallacies: How to adjust expectations in light of past events or new knowledge...mistakes in conditional probability from medical screening to the O. J. Simpson trial and the prosecutor's fallacy --$gCh. 7.$tMeasurement and the Law of Errors: The meaning and lack of meaning in measurements...the bell curve and wine ratings, political polls, grades, and the position of planets --$gCh. 8.$tThe Order in Chaos: How large numbers can wash out the disorder of randomness...or why 200,000,000 drivers form a creature of habit --$gCh. 9.$tIllusions of Patterns and Patterns of Illusion: Why we are often fooled by the regularities in chance events...can a million consecutive zeroes or the success of Wall Street gurus be random? --$gCh. 10.$tThe Drunkard's Walk: Why chance is a more fundamental conception than causality...Bruce Willis, Bill Gates, and the normal accident theory of life.
520 1 $a"In this book, Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance." "The rise and fall of your favorite movie star or the most reviled CEO - in fact, all our destinies - reflects chance as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery."--BOOK JACKET.
650 0 $aRandom variables.$0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85111355
650 0 $aProbabilities.$0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85107090
650 0 $aChance.$0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85022484
852 00 $boff,leh$hQA273$i.M63 2008
852 00 $bglx$hQA273$i.M63 2008