MARC record from Internet Archive

LEADER: 02404cam 2200325Ma 4500
001 ocn640487628
003 OCoLC
005 20120510181349.0
008 971105s1997 cau sbm f000 0 eng d
007 c| r|d|n|fu|||
040 $aAD#$beng$cAD#$dOCLCQ
035 $a(OCoLC)640487628
037 $aADA330983
100 1 $aShipman, Brian K.
245 10 $aFaculty forecast and planning model for the Naval Postgraduate School$h[electronic resource] /$cby Brian K. Shipman.
260 $aMonterey, Calif. :$bNaval Postgraduate School ;$aSpringfield, Va. :$bAvailable from National Technical Information Service,$c1997.
300 $axiii, 92 p. ;$c28 cm.
500 $aThesis advisor(s): Kneale T. Marshall.
500 $a"March 1997."
502 $aThesis (M.S. in Operations Research)--Naval Postgraduate School, March 1997.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 31-33).
506 $a"Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited."
520 $aThis thesis develops a model for the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) to forecast future tenure-track faculty size and distribution. It enables decision makers to analyze the effects of tenure and retirement policies as well as determine recruitment levels to achieve and maintain a desired number of faculty members. The model estimates faculty retention characteristics, or continuation rates based upon the length of federal service (LFS) associated with historic loss data. These continuation rates are applied to a cross- sectional faculty profile to predict faculty legacies, i.e. the number of faculty who will continue service at NPS. Results show that faculty levels can be predicted with relative certainty out to a two year horizon. Additionally, the results show how salary increases in the early 1990's induced a delay in faculty retirements. We also present an embellishment to the model which incorporates age at loss as well as LFS to forecast only retirements. The forecasts from this model are not as conclusive as those obtained from the original.
530 $aAlso available in print.
538 $aMode of access: World Wide Web.
538 $aSystem requriements: Adobe Acrobat reader.
856 41 $uhttp://edocs.nps.edu/npspubs/scholarly/theses/1997/Mar/97Mar_Shipman.pdf$z(965 KB)
856 41 $uhttp://handle.dtic.mil/100.2/ADA330983
994 $aZ0$bPMR
948 $hNO HOLDINGS IN PMR - 1 OTHER HOLDINGS