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LEADER: 03817cam 22005654a 4500
001 9921150240001661
005 20150423133403.0
008 090102s2009 mdu b 001 0deng
010 $a 2008055654
020 $a9780739128282 (cloth : alk. paper)
020 $a0739128280 (cloth : alk. paper)
020 $a9780739128299 (pbk. : alk. paper)
020 $a0739128299 (pbk. : alk. paper)
020 $a9780739135143 (electronic)
020 $a0739135147 (electronic)
029 1 $aCDX$b9481279
029 1 $aCDX$b9481278
029 1 $aBWX$bR2783964
029 1 $aBWX$bR5783632
035 $a(CSdNU)u355114-01national_inst
035 $a(OCoLC)298128853
035 $a(OCoLC)298128853
035 $a(OCoLC)298128853
040 $aDLC$cDLC$dBTCTA$dYDXCP$dYDX$dC#P$dCDX$dBWX$dOrLoB-B
043 $an-us---
049 $aCNUM
050 00 $aCB158$b.K34 2009
082 00 $a303.49$222
082 04 $a909
100 1 $aKahn, Herman,$d1922-1983.
240 10 $aSelections.$f2009
245 14 $aThe essential Herman Kahn :$bin defense of thinking /$cedited by Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein.
260 $aLanham :$bLexington Books,$cc2009.
300 $avii, 277 p. ;$c23 cm.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 273-274) and index.
505 0 $aIntroduction / Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein -- Pt. I. Thinking about the Unthinkable: Scenarios, Grand Strategy, and Thermonuclear War -- 1. In Defense of Thinking -- 2. Twelve Nonissues and Twelve Almost Nonissues -- 3. The Revolution in Warfare: Continuities and Discontinuities -- 4. On Escalation -- 5. Seizing the Moral, Political, and Strategic High Ground -- Pt. II. A World Turning Point: Economic Growth, Cultural Change, and the Long View -- 6. The Big Picture - and Some Details: Watersheds of History -- 7. Viewing Crowth in Context -- 8. Four Characteristic Views of Two Basic Images of the Earth-Centered Perspective -- 9. Some Current Cultural Contradictions of Economic Growth: The New Emphases -- 10. Economic Development: Economic and Cultural Parameters -- 11. The Alienated-Affluent Society -- Pt. III. The Challenge of the Future: Futurology, Methodology, and Policy Research -- 12. The Objectives of Future-Oriented Policy Research -- 13. The Agnostic Use of Information and Concepts -- 14. Forecasting the Future: History Happens in Straight Lines and Curves -- 15. A Methodological Framework: The Alternative World Futures Approach -- 16. The Method of Classes of Variables -- 17. Ways to Go Wrong -- 18. Technological Innovation: Mistakes of Omission and Commission -- Pt. IV. The Task Ahead: Observations, Recommendations, and Parting Polemics -- 19. The Normative Perspective and the Ideology of Tomorrow -- 20. Transitional Problems -- 21. The Expert and Educated Incapacity -- 22. Current Western Cultural Trends -- 23. Futurology and the Future of Economic Development -- 24. The Task Ahead -- Appendix. Herman Kahn: A Bio-Bibliographical Note / Paul Dragos Aligica and Kenneth R. Weinstein.
600 10 $aKahn, Herman,$d1922-1983$xInfluence.
650 0 $aForecasting$xHistory$y20th century$vSources.
650 0 $aFuturologists$zUnited States$xHistory$y20th century$vSources.
650 0 $aFuturologists$zUnited States$vBiography.
700 1 $aAligica?, Paul Dragos?.
700 1 $aWeinstein, Kenneth R.,$d1961-
938 $aBaker and Taylor$bBTCP$nBK0008161329
938 $aYBP Library Services$bYANK$n2955425
938 $aCoutts Information Services$bCOUT$n9481278$c49.00 GBP
938 $aBlackwell Book Service$bBBUS$nR5783632$c$75.00
947 $fCOLS-HIST$hCIRCSTACKS$p$28.45$q1
949 $aCB 158 .K34 2009$i31786102372759
994 $a92$bCNU
999 $aCB 158 .K34 2009$wLC$c1$i31786102372759$lCIRCSTACKS$mNULS$rY$sY$tBOOK $u6/17/2009