MARC Record from Collingswood Public Library

LEADER: 03008cam 2200349 a 4500
001 ocn175218048
003 OCoLC
005 20080627033213.0
008 071011s2008 nyua b 001 0 eng
010 $a2007042507
020 $a9780375424045
020 $a0375424040$c$24.95
035 $a(OCoLC)175218048
040 $aDLC$cDLC$dBTCTA$dBAKER$dYDXCP$dOCLCG$dUPZ$dIH5$dBWX$dZJI
049 $aNCLA$aNCLW
050 00 $aQA273$b.M63 2008
082 00 $a519.2
100 1 $aMlodinow, Leonard,$d1954-
245 14 $aThe Drunkard's walk :$bhow randomness rules our lives /$cLeonard Mlodinow.
250 $a1st ed.
260 $aNew York :$bPantheon Books,$cc2008.
300 $axi, 252 p. :$bill. ;$c25 cm.
504 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505 0 $aPeering through the eyepiece of randomness: the hidden role of chance . . . when human beings can be outperformed by a rat -- The laws of truths and half-truths: the basic principles of probability and how they are abused . . . why a good story is often less likely to be true than a flimsy explanation -- Finding your way through a space of possibilities: a framework for thinking about random situations . . . from a gambler in plague-ridden Italy to Let's Make a Deal -- Tracking the pathways to success: how to count the number of ways in which events can happen, and why it matters . . . the mathematical meaning of expectation -- The dueling laws of large and small numbers: the extent to which probabilities are reflected in the results we observe . . . Zeno's paradox, the concept of limits, and beating the casino at roulette -- False positives and positive fallacies: how to adjust expectations in light of past events or new knowledge . . . mistakes in conditional probability from medical screening to the O. J. Simpson trial and the prosecutor's fallacy -- Measurement and the law of errors: the meaning and lack of meaning in measurements . . . the bell curve and wine ratings, political polls, grades, and the position of planets -- The order in chaos: how large numbers can wash out the disorder of randomness . . . or why 200,000,000 drivers form a creature of habit -- Illusions of patterns and patterns of illusion: why we are often fooled by the regularities in chance events . . . can a million consecutive zeroes or the success of Wall Street gurus be random? -- The drunkard's walk: why chance is a more fundamental conception than causality . . . Bruce Willis, Bill Gates, and the normal accident theory of life.
520 $aAn irreverent look at how randomness influences our lives, and how our successes and failures are far more dependent on chance events than we recognize.
650 0 $aRandom variables.
650 0 $aProbabilities.
650 0 $aChance.
907 $a.b17533430$b07-01-08$c07-01-08
998 $a3cw$b07-01-08$cm$da$e-$feng$gnyu$h4$i0
946 $acw$bjaj$c2008-07-01
945 $a519.2 Mlo$g0$i36431100754634$l3cwan$o $p$25.00$q $r $s-$t201$u3$v2$w3$x0$y.i23201204$z07-01-08