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This paper discusses various challenges in the specification and implementation of "macro-finance" models in which macroeconomic variables and term structure variables are modeled together in a no-arbitrage framework. I classify macro-finance models into pure latent-factor models ("internal basis models") and models which have observed macroeconomic variables as state variables ("external basis models"), and examine the underlying assumptions behind these models. Particular attention is paid to the issue of unspanned short-run fluctuations in macro variables and their potentially adverse effect on the specification of external basis models. I also discuss the challenge of addressing features like structural breaks and time-varying inflation uncertainty. Empirical difficulties in the estimation and evaluation of macro-finance models are also discussed in detail.
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Challenges in macro-finance modeling
2007, Bank for International Settlements
Electronic resource
in English
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challenges in macro-finance modeling
2007, Bank for International Settlements
Electronic resource
in English
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Book Details
Edition Notes
Title from PDF file (viewed on Dec. 27, 2007).
"Monetary and Economic Department."
"December 2007."
Includes bibliographical references.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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