The long-run relationship between house prices and income

evidence from local housing markets

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The long-run relationship between house price ...
Joshua Hojvat Gallin
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December 11, 2020 | History

The long-run relationship between house prices and income

evidence from local housing markets

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"The proposition that "housing prices can't continue to outpace growth in household income" (Wall Street Journal; July 25, 2002) is the received wisdom among many housing-market observers. More formally, many in the housing literature argue that house prices and income are cointegrated. In this paper, I show that the data do not support this view. Standard tests using 27 years of national-level data do not find evidence of cointegration. However, it is known that tests for cointegration have low power, especially in small samples. I use panel-data tests for cointegration that have been shown to be more powerful than their standard time-series counterparts to test for cointegration in a panel of 95 metro areas over 23 years. Using a bootstrap approach to allow for cross-correlations in city-level house-price shocks, I show that even these more powerful tests do not reject the hypothesis of no cointegration. Thus the error-correction specification for house prices and income commonly found in the literature may be inappropriate"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

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Language
English

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Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references.
Title from PDF file as viewed on 7/27/2004.
Also available in print.
System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.
Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Published in
Washington, D.C
Series
Finance and economics discussion series ;, 2003-17, Finance and economics discussion series (Online) ;, 2003-17.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL3389835M
LCCN
2004616525

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Download catalog record: RDF / JSON
December 11, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
December 5, 2010 Edited by Open Library Bot Added subjects from MARC records.
December 10, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page