The black swan
the impact of the highly improbable
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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ABOUT THIS BOOK
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
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Subjects
Ereignis, nyt:paperback_nonfiction=2010-05-09, Prévision, New York Times bestseller, Business, Social aspects, Philosophy, Informationstheorie, Teoria da informação (aspectos sociais), Prognose, Incertitude (Théorie de l'information), Aspect social, Wahrscheinlichkeit, Forecasting, Probability, Uncertainty (Information theory), Social aspects of Uncertainty (Information theory), Ungewissheit, Sozialpsychologie, Nonfiction, New York Times reviewedShowing 4 featured editions. View all 22 editions?
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
June 10, 2008, Random House Trade Paperbacks
Paperback
in English
081297381X 9780812973815
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The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2007, Random House
in English
- 1st ed.
1400063515 9781400063512
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Book Details
Published in
New York
Edition Notes
Includes bibliographical references (p. [331]-358) and index.
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Work Description
From the critically acclaimed author of Fooled by Randomness, a book about the impact of improbable events on every aspect of life.
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