An edition of How to predict the unpredictable (2014)

How to predict the unpredictable

the art of outsmarting almost everyone

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Last edited by ImportBot
November 3, 2021 | History
An edition of How to predict the unpredictable (2014)

How to predict the unpredictable

the art of outsmarting almost everyone

  • 0 Ratings
  • 5 Want to read
  • 0 Currently reading
  • 0 Have read

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase 'winning streaks' that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be. In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase 'representativeness' to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You'll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

Publish Date
Publisher
Oneworld
Language
English
Pages
284

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Previews available in: English

Edition Availability
Cover of: How to Predict the Unpredictable
How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone
2015-06-01, Oneworld Publications
Cover of: How to predict the unpredictable
How to predict the unpredictable: the art of outsmarting almost everyone
2014, Oneworld
in English

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Book Details


Table of Contents

Prologue : the outguessing machine
pt. I. The randomness experiment. The Zenith broadcast ; How to outguess rock, paper, scissors ; How to outguess multiple-choice tests ; How to outguess the lottery ; How to outguess tennis serves ; How to outguess football penalty kicks ; How to outguess card games ; How to outguess passwords ; How to outguess crowd-sourced ratings ; How to outguess fake numbers ; How to outguess manipulated numbers ; How to outguess ponzi schemes
pt. II. The hot hand theory. In the zone ; How to outguess football bets ; How to outguess Oscar pools ; How to outguess big data ; How to outguess retail prices ; How to outguess property prices ; How to outguess the unpredictable ; How to outguess the stock market
Epilogue : fortune's world.

Edition Notes

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Also issued online.

Published in
London

Classifications

Dewey Decimal Class
153.83
Library of Congress
BF611

The Physical Object

Pagination
viii, 284 pages
Number of pages
284

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL35593693M
Internet Archive
howtopredictunpr0000poun
ISBN 10
1780744072
ISBN 13
9781780744070, 9781780744087
OCLC/WorldCat
889516812

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November 3, 2021 Created by ImportBot import new book