Speculation and risk sharing with new financial assets

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Speculation and risk sharing with new financi ...
Alp Simsek
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Last edited by MARC Bot
October 17, 2020 | History

Speculation and risk sharing with new financial assets

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"While the traditional view of financial innovation emphasizes the risk sharing role of new financial assets, belief disagreements about these assets naturally lead to speculation, which represents a powerful economic force in the opposite direction. This paper investigates the effect of financial innovation on portfolio risks in an economy when both the risk sharing and the speculation forces are present. I consider this question in a standard mean-variance framework. Financial assets provide hedging services but they are also subject to speculation because traders do not necessarily agree about their payoffs. I define the average variance of traders' net worths as a measure of portfolio risks for this economy, and I decompose it into two components: the uninsurable variance, defined as the average variance that would obtain if there were no belief disagreements, and the speculative variance, defined as the residual variance that results from speculative trades based on belief disagreements. Financial innovation always decreases the uninsurable variance because new assets increase the possibilities for risk sharing. My main result shows that financial innovation also always increases the speculative variance. This is true even if traders completely agree about the payoffs of new assets. The intuition behind this result is the hedge-more/bet-more effect: Traders use new assets to hedge their bets on existing assets, which in turn enables them to place larger bets and take on greater risks.The net effect of financial innovation on portfolio risks depends on the quantitative strength of its effects on the uninsurable and the speculative variances. I consider a calibration of the model for new assets linked to national incomes of G7 countries, which were recommended by Athanasoulis and Shiller (2001) to facilitate risk sharing. For reasonable levels of belief disagreements, these assets would actually increase the average consumption risks of individuals in G7 countries. In addition, a profit seeking market maker would introduce a different subset of these assets than the ones proposed by Athanasoulis and Shiller (2001). The endogenous set of new assets would be directed towards increasing the opportunities for speculation rather than risk sharing"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Cover of: Speculation and risk sharing with new financial assets
Speculation and risk sharing with new financial assets
2011, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Published in

Cambridge, MA

Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/3/2012.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 17506, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 17506.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL25165986M
LCCN
2011657391

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October 17, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
January 11, 2012 Created by LC Bot import new book