Beauty contests and irrational exuberance

a neoclassical approach

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Beauty contests and irrational exuberance
Marios Angeletos
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Last edited by MARC Bot
September 25, 2020 | History

Beauty contests and irrational exuberance

a neoclassical approach

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"The arrival of new, unfamiliar, investment opportunities is often associated with "exuberant" movements in asset prices and real economic activity. During these episodes of high uncertainty, financial markets look at the real sector for signals about the profitability of the new investment opportunities, and vice versa. In this paper, we study how such information spillovers impact the incentives that agents face when making their real economic decisions. On the positive front, we find that the sensitivity of equilibrium outcomes to noise and to higher-order uncertainty is amplified, exacerbating the disconnect from fundamentals. On the normative front, we find that these effects are symptoms of constrained inefficiency; we then investigate policies that can improve welfare in our model without any informational advantage on the government's part. At the heart of these results is a distortion that induces a conventional neoclassical economy to behave as a Keynesian "beauty contest" and to exhibit fluctuations that may look like "irrational exuberance" to an outside observer"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Publish Date
Language
English

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Edition Availability
Cover of: Beauty contests and irrational exuberance
Beauty contests and irrational exuberance: a neoclassical approach
2010, National Bureau of Economic Research
Electronic resource in English

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Book Details


Published in

Cambridge, MA

Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 4/13/2010.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Series
NBER working paper series -- working paper 15883, Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research : Online) -- working paper no. 15883.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HB1

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24472922M
LCCN
2010655828

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September 25, 2020 Edited by MARC Bot import existing book
November 30, 2010 Created by ImportBot initial import