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January 30, 2010 | History

Consumption response to expected future income 1 edition

Consumption response to expected future income
Laurie Pounder

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Consumption response to expected future income
Laurie Pounder.

Published 2009 by Federal Reserve Board in Washington, D.C .
Written in English.

About the Book

"This paper shows empirical evidence in favor of forward-looking household consumption--that consumption today depends directly on household-specific ex-ante expectations of future income. This analysis is unique in using a direct consumption measure combined with an ex-ante household-specific measure of expected future income, constructed from detailed survey and administrative data on Social Security, pensions, and retirement plans. Households with high expected future income spend more today than households that have lower future income but identical current income and net worth. Omitting household-specific future income can cause mis-estimation of key consumption questions. Furthermore, when all three resources for consumption (current income, net worth, and future income) are accounted for, the average propensity to spend out of current income is similar to predictions of optimal consumption under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic model, although the propensities to spend out of accumulated net worth and expected future income are notably lower in the data than the optimal model. Finally, these data also provide evidence on the effect of risk on consumption while controlling for all three resources. Households with high measured risk aversion consume less out of future income. All households, on average, consume more out of the more predictable sources of future income, such as future Social Security benefits"--Federal Reserve Board web site.

Edition Notes

Title from PDF file as viewed on 6/25/2009.

Includes bibliographical references.

Also available in print.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Mode of access: World Wide Web.

Series
International finance discussion papers -- no. 971, International finance discussion papers (Online) -- no. 971.

Classifications

Library of Congress
HG3879

The Physical Object

Format
Electronic resource

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL23579220M
LC Control Number
2009656141

History

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January 30, 2010 Edited by WorkBot add more information to works
December 11, 2009 Created by WorkBot add works page