An edition of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
(2005)
The black swan
the impact of the highly improbable
2nd ed.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- 27 Ratings
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Last edited by LeadSongDog
June 29, 2021 | History
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
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Subjects
Ereignis, nyt:paperback_nonfiction=2010-05-09, Prévision, New York Times bestseller, Business, Social aspects, Philosophy, Informationstheorie, Teoria da informação (aspectos sociais), Prognose, Incertitude (Théorie de l'information), Aspect social, Wahrscheinlichkeit, Forecasting, Probability, Uncertainty (Information theory), Social aspects of Uncertainty (Information theory), Ungewissheit, Sozialpsychologie, Nonfiction, New York Times reviewed, Uncertainty (information theory), Informationsteori, Uncertainty (information theory)--social aspects, Incertitude (théorie de l'information)--aspect social, Q375 .t35 2010, 003/.54Showing 5 featured editions. View all 22 editions?
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1
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2010, Random House Trade Paperbacks
in English
- 2nd ed.
081297381X 9780812973815
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WorldCat
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2
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3
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WorldCat
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4
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
June 10, 2008, Random House Trade Paperbacks
Paperback
in English
081297381X 9780812973815
|
zzzz
Libraries near you:
WorldCat
|
5
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2007, Random House
in English
- 1st ed.
1400063515 9781400063512
|
eeee
Libraries near you:
WorldCat
|
Book Details
Published in
New York
Table of Contents
Prologue
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd
We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict?
Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony
The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan
Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.
Edition Notes
Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form by Random House in 2007.
Includes bibliographical references (p. [400]-429) and index.
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Work Description
From the critically acclaimed author of Fooled by Randomness, a book about the impact of improbable events on every aspect of life.
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History
- Created January 3, 2011
- 4 revisions
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| June 29, 2021 | Edited by LeadSongDog | Edited without comment. |
| March 2, 2021 | Edited by Tom Morris | merge authors |
| June 3, 2013 | Edited by Bryan L. Fordham | Added new cover |
| January 3, 2011 | Created by ImportBot | Imported from Library of Congress MARC record. |