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Last edited by LeadSongDog
June 29, 2021 | History

The black swan

the impact of the highly improbable

2nd ed.
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This edition was published in by Random House Trade Paperbacks in New York.

Written in English

444 pages

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.

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Previews available in: English

Edition Availability
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan
Jun 02, 2015, Brilliance Audio
mp3 cd in English
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
2011, Allen Lane
hardcover in English
Cover of: Le Cygne Noir
Le Cygne Noir: La Puissance De L'imprevisible
Sep 30, 2010, Les Belles Lettres
in French / français
Cover of: Der schwarze Schwan
Der schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse
2010, Deutscher Taschenbuch Verlag
Paperback in German / Deutsch - ungekürzte Ausgabe
Cover of: The black swan
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2010, Random House Trade Paperbacks
in English - 2nd ed.
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan
2010, Random House Publishing Group
E-book in English
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2010, Penguin Books
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan
2009, Penguin Group UK
E-book in English
Cover of: El cisne negro
El cisne negro
2008, Círculo de lectores
in Spanish / español
Cover of: Der schwarze Schwan
Der schwarze Schwan: Die Macht höchst unwahrscheinlicher Ereignisse
2008, Hanser Wirtschaft
Hardcover in German / Deutsch
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
June 10, 2008, Random House Trade Paperbacks
Paperback in English
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan
May 16, 2007, Random House
hardcover
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
April 17, 2007, Random House
Hardcover in English
Cover of: The black swan
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2007, Random House
in English - 1st ed.
Cover of: The Black Swan
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
August 2007, Recorded Books
Audio CD in English
Cover of: The black swan
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2007, Random House
in English - 1st ed.
Cover of: The black swan
The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
2005, Random House
in English

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The black swan

the impact of the highly improbable

2nd ed.

This edition was published in by Random House Trade Paperbacks in New York.


Edition Description

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.

Table of Contents

Prologue
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd
We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict?
Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony
The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan
Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans
Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.

Edition Notes

Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form by Random House in 2007.

Includes bibliographical references (p. [400]-429) and index.

Classifications

Dewey Decimal Class
003/.54
Library of Congress
Q375 .T35 2010

The Physical Object

Pagination
xxxiii, 444 p. :
Number of pages
444

ID Numbers

Open Library
OL24567743M
ISBN 10
081297381X
ISBN 13
9780812973815
LC Control Number
2010292618
OCLC/WorldCat
213400968

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History

Download catalog record: RDF / JSON / OPDS | Wikipedia citation
June 29, 2021 Edited by LeadSongDog Edited without comment.
March 2, 2021 Edited by Tom Morris merge authors
June 3, 2013 Edited by Bryan L. Fordham Added new cover
January 3, 2011 Created by ImportBot Imported from Library of Congress MARC record.